HA ORB had a small loss today

Tweet

 

HA ES Chatroom Performance Chart

Tweet

 

here are the trades:  

https://s3.dualstack.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/media.hamzeianalytics.com/HA%20ES%20Chatroom%20Performance%20Data.pdf

here is the sign-up link:  

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_ES_details.asp

Market Commentary for Friday, September 26, 2025, by Peter Cook

Tweet

We are running up this morning based on "good" inflation data.  You can judge for yourself, but it does look like the data look fishy to me.  Consumption numbers running at 2x the rate of inflation looks odd.  

If it's real, prices should come up to meet that insatiable demand.  

Prior PCE revised down too.  I'm sure everyone can understand why after the last couple weeks of drama with the BLS. 

Meanwhile, you can look at #COST and see all you need to know about consumption.  It's down after laying another egg during earnings.  Same store sales tepid.  

#KMX was down almost 25% yesterday with the same kind of thing - really difficult time for used cars now that the Tariff induced front running is done.  

#LEN reported same with home sales.  Not only that but builder stocks ran up way too much in anticipation of rate cuts.  Now the hangover is here. 

I'm watching the stocks, not the macro data - macro data just not useful anymore. #INFL (ETF that tracks stocks that do best with inflation) is up 0.55% this morning so far too.  If inflation is not a concern, then why do the inflation stocks keep going up? 

Gamma Ratios are very bullish today, I killed it yesterday and pulled almost 70 ES handles, which is pretty nuts for me.  I'm going to press longs again today.  Could be a trend up day at least until we get into 661 on SPY. 

Levels:

All the best;

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0954 ET on Sept 26th.

Proactive Market Timing Webinar recorded last night #ES_F #SPX #NQ_F #NDX

Tweet

read more: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/Proactive_Market_Timing_Pro_details.asp

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

Tweet

Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 91/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data point for today is:

core PCE came in in-line and our markets rallied. YM Futures traded up +240 

and this one is due at 10am ET

Bi-Monthly #Stock #Market #Timing for #SPX #NDX #SPY #QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F

Tweet

starts today at 415pm Eastern (2015 Zulu) 

Webinar Registration page

HA ORB had another fantastic day trading #NQ_F Futures

Tweet

HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

(trades both MNQ & NQ)

for Thursday, September 25, 2025 

here is the P&L for today:

Trading three NQZ25 contracts: 

Let's do the Math

3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money

so here in less than 2 hrs it made a tad over 32 %

 

here is the Trades List:

Here is the 90-day Equity Curve:

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION OR NINJA IS NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Market Commentary for Thursday, September 25, 2025, by Peter Cook

Tweet

 

We are gapping down.  Why?  No reason really, the market just has too many people shorting volatility and we are struggling with sentiment now.  

With gaps like this, often it takes 30-45 minutes in the first hour to shake everyone out, which looks like what's going on now.  We'll look for a turn back up hopefully if we hit some of these Put Walls.  That would be a nice place to see Market Makers at least attempt a bounce.  

We got inflation data in the form of the PCE measurement in the GDP and it was very hot.  GDP came in as a "beat" which probably seems good, except that inflation (PCE) was 2.5% compared to only 1.6% last quarter.  That is a really big jump.

We will look for signs that the Rate Cuts Odds are going down via the CME FedWatch.  This market is 100% settled on one path only - rate cuts and lower than expected inflation is the normal view of things.  I think that view is being challenged this morning.  

#COST reports earnings and there is heavy, heavy put buying in that name ahead of the print. 

Levels:

All the best;

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to HA Members at 0941 ET on Sept 25th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

Tweet

Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 78F, expected range is 90/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Rates are rising as Econ Data came in a lot better than Consensus Estimates:   there goes the Fed rate cuts? who knows !!

these are the good data points for our Economy:

Admiral Tiko's Stock of the Day

Tweet

MicroStrategy (MSTR) is on a SELL 

Price Target is 306 (negative 4 sigma)

notice the death cross (50 MA crossing below 200 MA) could be next