HA ORB had a small loss today

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HA ES Chatroom Performance Chart

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here are the trades:  

https://s3.dualstack.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/media.hamzeianalytics.com/HA%20ES%20Chatroom%20Performance%20Data.pdf

here is the sign-up link:  

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_ES_details.asp

Market Commentary for Friday, September 26, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We are running up this morning based on "good" inflation data.  You can judge for yourself, but it does look like the data look fishy to me.  Consumption numbers running at 2x the rate of inflation looks odd.  

If it's real, prices should come up to meet that insatiable demand.  

Prior PCE revised down too.  I'm sure everyone can understand why after the last couple weeks of drama with the BLS. 

Meanwhile, you can look at #COST and see all you need to know about consumption.  It's down after laying another egg during earnings.  Same store sales tepid.  

#KMX was down almost 25% yesterday with the same kind of thing - really difficult time for used cars now that the Tariff induced front running is done.  

#LEN reported same with home sales.  Not only that but builder stocks ran up way too much in anticipation of rate cuts.  Now the hangover is here. 

I'm watching the stocks, not the macro data - macro data just not useful anymore. #INFL (ETF that tracks stocks that do best with inflation) is up 0.55% this morning so far too.  If inflation is not a concern, then why do the inflation stocks keep going up? 

Gamma Ratios are very bullish today, I killed it yesterday and pulled almost 70 ES handles, which is pretty nuts for me.  I'm going to press longs again today.  Could be a trend up day at least until we get into 661 on SPY. 

Levels:

All the best;

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0954 ET on Sept 26th.

Proactive Market Timing Webinar recorded last night #ES_F #SPX #NQ_F #NDX

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read more: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/Proactive_Market_Timing_Pro_details.asp

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 91/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data point for today is:

core PCE came in in-line and our markets rallied. YM Futures traded up +240 

and this one is due at 10am ET

Bi-Monthly #Stock #Market #Timing for #SPX #NDX #SPY #QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F

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starts today at 415pm Eastern (2015 Zulu) 

Webinar Registration page

HA ORB had another fantastic day trading #NQ_F Futures

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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

(trades both MNQ & NQ)

for Thursday, September 25, 2025 

here is the P&L for today:

Trading three NQZ25 contracts: 

Let's do the Math

3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money

so here in less than 2 hrs it made a tad over 32 %

 

here is the Trades List:

Here is the 90-day Equity Curve:

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION OR NINJA IS NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Market Commentary for Thursday, September 25, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We are gapping down.  Why?  No reason really, the market just has too many people shorting volatility and we are struggling with sentiment now.  

With gaps like this, often it takes 30-45 minutes in the first hour to shake everyone out, which looks like what's going on now.  We'll look for a turn back up hopefully if we hit some of these Put Walls.  That would be a nice place to see Market Makers at least attempt a bounce.  

We got inflation data in the form of the PCE measurement in the GDP and it was very hot.  GDP came in as a "beat" which probably seems good, except that inflation (PCE) was 2.5% compared to only 1.6% last quarter.  That is a really big jump.

We will look for signs that the Rate Cuts Odds are going down via the CME FedWatch.  This market is 100% settled on one path only - rate cuts and lower than expected inflation is the normal view of things.  I think that view is being challenged this morning.  

#COST reports earnings and there is heavy, heavy put buying in that name ahead of the print. 

Levels:

All the best;

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to HA Members at 0941 ET on Sept 25th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 78F, expected range is 90/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Rates are rising as Econ Data came in a lot better than Consensus Estimates:   there goes the Fed rate cuts? who knows !!

these are the good data points for our Economy:

Admiral Tiko's Stock of the Day

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MicroStrategy (MSTR) is on a SELL 

Price Target is 306 (negative 4 sigma)

notice the death cross (50 MA crossing below 200 MA) could be next 

 

PMT Trade #396 is out

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Login to your PMT to see the trade

Admiral Tiko's PMT Chart of the Day = 3-mo. #VIX Futures Spread (#VX_F)

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as 3-month VIX Futures (Long Ocotber25, Short January26) improves (rises), it signifies that broad market is in the SELL mode.

Bottom is very near when the spread prints ZERO....

Market Commentary for Wednesday, September 24, 2025, by Peter Cook

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Looks like we are holding steady overnight, which isn't too surprising given we were sitting on top of weekly VWAPs at the end of the session yesterday.

0DTE Gamma shows a lot of puts at 663 on SPY, heavy support.  If it breaks, we could pull the same kind of move we did yesterday, straight down for a while.  

Argentina is rising so far this morning on Bailout Hopes.  Please keep this on your radar because these things are not that easy to fix once they start - back in 1995 it was a mess in Mexico when it happened and ended up costing the US and IMF a ton of money to fix.  If the US has to spend a bunch of money, it could make rates go up or even cause a contagion.  The IMF is saying "no thanks" to helping because this is about the 5th time Argentina has done this thing.  Watch the Argentinian Peso over the next few weeks for signs of weakness.

Levels:

All the best;

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0932 ET on Sept 24th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 91/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data point for today is:

HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) barely made any shekels today

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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

for Tuesday, September 23, 2025 

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Decoding Day Trading Signals: How the Best Services Turn Data into Profit

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In the fast-paced world of financial markets, day trading is an art and a science combined. Every tick of the chart, every candlestick, and every fluctuation holds a story — and those who can read it accurately are the ones who consistently profit. But while intuition and experience play a role, the real game-changer for modern traders is day trading signals. These signals are not just random alerts; they are the distilled wisdom of complex data sets, designed to guide traders toward profitable decisions with precision.

 

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Not all trading signals are created equal. The difference between an amateur signal and a professional-grade alert is the depth of data analysis behind it. The best day trading signal service leverages advanced algorithms, historical market trends, and real-time news feeds to predict potential market movements. These services analyze volumes, volatility, and momentum indicators to provide signals that help traders enter and exit positions with a higher probability of success.

For example, a well-constructed signal doesn’t just tell you when to buy or sell—it explains why. This reasoning allows traders to make informed decisions, reducing emotional trading and boosting confidence. In today’s markets, where speed and accuracy matter more than ever, having access to reliable trading signals is like having a professional co-pilot navigating the turbulent skies of day trading.

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At the core of the most successful trading signals is data — lots of it. High-frequency data streams, market depth, news sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators are all processed using machine learning and AI-driven analytics. The best futures day trading platform integrates these technologies seamlessly, offering traders a centralized hub where they can monitor markets, receive actionable signals, and execute trades efficiently.

By utilizing these platforms, traders gain access to real-time charts, automated alerts, and predictive analytics. This combination turns raw market noise into actionable insights, providing a competitive edge that is difficult to achieve through traditional analysis alone. More importantly, these platforms are designed for both novices and professionals, offering customizable dashboards and alerts that cater to different trading styles and risk appetites.

 

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Markets are inherently unpredictable, influenced by geopolitical events, economic data releases, and investor sentiment. Traders who rely solely on intuition may struggle to keep up. In contrast, professional-grade trading signals continuously adapt to changing conditions. Advanced algorithms adjust to volatility spikes, trend reversals, and unexpected news, offering signals that are dynamic rather than static.

When paired with the best futures day trading platform, these signals become actionable insights. Traders can respond quickly to market shifts, seize profitable opportunities, and avoid potential pitfalls before they escalate. The combination of adaptive signals and a powerful trading platform ensures that every decision is data-driven, timely, and precise.

 

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Day trading is no longer about gut feelings or guesswork. The fusion of sophisticated analytics, algorithm-driven insights, and powerful trading platforms has transformed it into a precise discipline. By leveraging the best day trading signal service and the best futures day trading platform, traders can navigate markets with confidence, making informed decisions that maximize profit potential while minimizing risk.

In the competitive world of day trading, signals are more than guidance—they are the compass that points toward opportunity, helping traders decode the chaos of the markets into consistent results. Those who embrace this technology-savvy approach are the ones who not only survive the market’s volatility but thrive within it.

 

Market Commentary for Tuesday, September 23, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We nailed the call on the +0.65% move on #QQQ, crazy when the statistics work out.  

#BA up this morning.  It's set up nicely for a long on the Dailies. 

#GLD continues to run.  But all is not well - when it does a multi-week run like this, it's only up about 20-25% of the time in the next 6 weeks.  It's time to be locking down gains in those names. 

#NVDA is noticeably weak today.  I saw some signs the options markets are overheating in #NVDA last night, I'd avoid. This is one sign I've been looking for to get ready for a larger decline in the indices. 

I did start swinging some left-tail kind of "Vix Spike" plays using some 10-delta weekly calls.  We'll see if it works - it's a small position.  Since I'm not doing much trading now (other than day trading) I need to keep myself busy and not get in trouble. 

Levels:

 

All the best;

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0936 ET on Sept 23rd.

Admiral Tiko's Chart of the Day = HA SP2

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as most of you know well, over the years, HA SP2 has been a very effective tool of picking tops & bottoms (specially bottoms).

Current reading is ~89 which says SPX is very overbought

now, tops take time to form, and we *could* be near a trend reversal but it is too hard to tell this second....... bottoming is much easier

so stay tuned and we will keep an eye on both SPX & HA SP2 

HA ORB had another great day

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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NQZ25 Futures

for Monday day, September 22, 2025

Trading three NQZ25 contracts: 

Let's do the Math

3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money

so here in less than 90 minutes it made a tad over 28 %

Here is the trades list for today:

Here is the Equity Curve for last 66 trading days (1 quarter):

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Nick Timiraos of WSJ on Fed Rate Cuts

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Market Commentary for Monday, September 22, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We are seeing the tape show some marginal weakness with #GBTC and #FFTY down.  

The news from the weekend was that the BLS has quietly decided not to release the report that shows the new weightings for items in the CPI calculations.  You can make of that what you will, but you can tell they are worried about #inflation, and you should be too.  

It won't help much to mess around with the weightings on the CPI calculations because stores are passing along tariffs in non-transparent ways.  They aren't just going up there and saying "hey this is a tariffed item, it's going to be 50% more now please."  They are looking at everything they sell and raising the price on all of it and an effort to try to get past the BS detectors of shoppers, hoping not to peeve the administration.   

Or they are doing stuff like the automakers are doing and raising "fees" they charge customers (like the destination charge / delivery fee) for the car.  The lawyering out there is out of control.  If you are a consumer, you need to read the fine print now just to buy a can of beans at the store and not get ripped off.

We gapped down, but we are seeing the 0DTE Options markets show panic and we are sitting on top of the 0DTE Implied lows.  Usually means we close green.  Last 10 times that has happened, we Average a +0.65% move on QQQ with 9/10 higher.  I'm aggressively trading longs today. 

Levels:

All the best;

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

 

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 1001 ET on Sept 22nd.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 78F, expected range is 91/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data points for today are:

NONE today