Thursday, July 2, 2015
#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Thursday, July 2, 2015
Yesterday CLQ5
just missed the 56.45 target mentioned all
week and until first above 57.90-58.20
zone CLQ5 is likely to continue
pushing lower today; if so 55.95 is
a target then 55.60 55.40 zone.
If above 58.20
the next resistance level is at 58.90
and then key resistance at 59.40.
Ethan Premock
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Thursday, July 2, 2015
No
change in ESU5 levels, bias, and
thoughts as yesterday which was somewhat expected being a short holiday week
ahead of NFP. Right now ESU5 is
balanced between 2078s & 2060s; until either is breached my bias
will remain neutral.
Once/if
above 2078s the bulls will then need
to get through 2084s-2086s zone in
order to have upside with legs and potential to re-test 2098s-2100s zone, and/or once/if below 2062s-2060s zone the bears must first get through 2053s/52s for chance to resume selling
below this week’s low at 2046s; if
so 2037s-2035s zone will be the
first lower target then 2026s/2025s.
This
week has been a very nice change for two way day-traders from most weeks this
year. Even yesterday which started out very choppy ended up giving a good Short and also a good Long; both were +10 points. My hope is that NFP does not give the 2015 bulls an
edge otherwise there will be chance that the fun this week (as a two way
day-trader) will be short-lived and next week the market will go right back to
the usual slow chop & grind RTH
sessions during the entire first half of 2015. Rather see the complete opposite
during the 2nd half of 2015.
Ethan Premock
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
Wednesday, July 1, 2015
#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Wednesday, July 1, 2015
CLQ5 still
seems to be heading towards the 56.45
target while below 59.90-60.00 zone
and until first above the low volume area (LVA) at 59.05-59.35 zone there will be better chance of pushing lower to at
least 58.25-58.05 zone then a retest
of 57.90.
If below 57.90 the
next lower for today will be at 57.55.
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
Ethan Premock
Futures & Options StrategistHamzei Analytics, LLC
#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Wednesday, July 1, 2015
Finally and very happy seeing good ESU5 two way price action with range
and energy so far this week during RTH which is all that matters for traders.
Not sure if the rest of the week will be the same with NFP approaching and also being a short holiday week but if the 2nd half of the year is the
exact opposite of the first half everyday does not need to be as good as the
past two days.
For today first support for ESU5 is value at 2060s/59s. If holding above value during the RTH session there will
be high odds of reaching the key resistance/threshold I have mentioned all week
at 2084s-2098s zone once/if above 2077s/78s.
If back in value
during RTH the 80% Rule will apply
to the downside with potential to reach 2052s-2050s
zone. If below value (-2050) the +30 point rally from yesterday’s RTH
low will likely just be a “dead cat bounce” and the selling will resume to the
first lower target at 2037s-2035s zone
then 2026s/25s, which is a must
defend by the bulls otherwise a deeper pull-back/correction is more likely.
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
Ethan Premock
Futures & Options StrategistHamzei Analytics, LLC
Tuesday, June 30, 2015
#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Tuesday, June 30, 2015
CLQ5 still
looks to be heading towards the 56.45
target especially while below the low volume area (LVA) at 59.15-59.55 zone.
If above 59.55 the
bulls definitely have some work to do to get above 60.15-60.30 zone and until then the potential to reach 56.45 this week will remain intact.
Ethan Premock
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Tuesday, June 30, 2015
Yesterday
I mentioned ESU5 2086s-2098s as a key
resistance/threshold zone for determining if this week would or would not have
potential to see the usual full recovery after a big overnight (OVN) gap down.
This zone still remains key for this week but after yesterday’s (Monday)
bearish price action the key zone is now at 2084s-2098s.
Today
has chance of digesting yesterday which means the possibility of an inside day
or a dead cat bounce; this means to not expect the same day with such range and
energy as yesterday which also means the potential for runners is low. When the
potential for an inside is high it is important to scale out of trades and lock
in profits earlier than the norm.
If
ESU5 remains above 2053s/52s today there will be good odds
for the inside day or dead cat bounce scenarios and if so the first resistance
to have an eye on is at 2073s-2075s
zone then 2084s-2086s zone.
If
ESU5 pushes below 2052 sometime today followed by a
breach of yesterday’s low/2047s
(which is not a shake) the first lower target for today is at 2038s/37s then the must hold for the
bulls to avoid a deeper pull-back/correction is at 2025s/24s.
Ethan Premock
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
Monday, June 29, 2015
#PreMarket Thoughts and #CL_F Levels for Monday, June 29, 2015
Last week CLQ5 was
unable to get and hold above the first key resistance at 62s and now looks to be heading to the 56.45 target mentioned last week.
First resistance for today is at 59.55-59.65 zone then at 59.95-60.15 zone; until above these
levels/areas CLQ5 will have better
chance to retest 58.60-58.30 zone
then also have potential to reach 57.60
and lower.
Ethan Premock
Futures & Options Strategist
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
#PreMarket Thoughts and #ES_F Levels for Monday, June 29, 2015
For three years straight there have been many
overnight gap downs to only be fully recovered sometime within the next trading
session the following day, and after three years today is going to be very
interesting to see if the US stock market can or will again have such a
recovery after last night’s (Sunday) opening gap down following the headlines
out of Greece over the weekend.
After the cash open today I will have an eye on two
ESU5 areas which are 2060s/59s and the key threshold at 2086s-2098s zone; however before being able to
reach 2086s and above ESU5 must first also get through the
low volume area (LVA) just above 2080s.
If ESU5
is unable to get above 2080s the
bulls will then need to defend 2060s/59s
otherwise the odds will increase to not have the usual full recovery post a OVN
gap down and if so the next lower targets will be at 2049s-2042s zone then a must defend by the bulls at 2026s/25s.
Ethan Premock
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
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