Wednesday, October 1, 2025

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders


Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 76F, expected range is 92/74

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data points for today are:

first two both had big misses










Tuesday, September 30, 2025

HA ORB had a big loss today, due to chaos in the index markets


 

Admiral Tiko's Second Stock of the Day is #NVDA

 



Target is 191 (+3 sigma daily)


Admiral Tiko's Stock of the Day #MU



 I luv Micron


Target = 182 (+2 sigma daily)

Market Commentary for Tuesday, September 30, 2025, by Peter Cook


We are struggling overnight, and the tape looks weak.  Bitcoin #BTCUSD backed off the Sunday gap up in the futures (yes, I know Bitcoin trades 24/7).  Typically, a gap up on Sunday like that for Bitcoin is bearish. 

Yesterday's candle is bearish for today, only 44% chance of higher.  

Shutdown stuff is the main thing we'll keep an eye on today.  Kalshi has the odds around 76% now and rising.  Cramer says the shutdown doesn't matter and market should be fine.  That should be concerning for us. 

My metrics suggest today is a poor day for day trading, so I'll skip it. 

We are resting on top of support there around 663 on #SPY,  under that is negative gamma and we could break weekly support.  

Levels:


All the best;

 


Peter Cook
#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator
Hamzei Analytics, LLC


This email went out to Members at 0827 ET on Sept 30th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders


Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 87/75

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data points for today are:






Monday, September 29, 2025

Admiral Tiko's Stock of the Day is #LRCX

 Lam Research (Semi Equip Mfg)

beta = 1.82

Market Cap = $166 Bil

Target = 141

HA ORB had a loss today


 

Market Commentary for Monday, September 29, 2025, by Peter Cook


We are gapping up and all the silly stuff is running again.

#Gold, gold miners, #FFTY and #NVDA is running.  #INTC is weak though. I have puts on $INTC expecting it to completely fall apart soon. 

We gapped Bitcoin futures up on Sunday - the last 14 times that has happened we are lower than today's close 11 out of 14 times.  It is bearish. 

We get the JPM Collar roll after tomorrow - that will reduce the tendency of this market to be so resilient. 

VXN is up 3% this morning, most of the Vix complex continues to rise - extending correlations with the indexes further and further out (Vix up Indexes Up).  This is a very, very bearish thing to see. 

#QQQ is up almost 1% as I type this and yet only 49% of the #SPX is advancing.  Not good. 

Levels:


 All the best;


 Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC


Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 


This email went out to Members at 1014 ET on Sept 29th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders


Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 77F, expected range is 90/77 with 80% chanse of rain 

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data points for today are:




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