Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Market Commentary for Tuesday, September 30, 2025, by Peter Cook


We are struggling overnight, and the tape looks weak.  Bitcoin #BTCUSD backed off the Sunday gap up in the futures (yes, I know Bitcoin trades 24/7).  Typically, a gap up on Sunday like that for Bitcoin is bearish. 

Yesterday's candle is bearish for today, only 44% chance of higher.  

Shutdown stuff is the main thing we'll keep an eye on today.  Kalshi has the odds around 76% now and rising.  Cramer says the shutdown doesn't matter and market should be fine.  That should be concerning for us. 

My metrics suggest today is a poor day for day trading, so I'll skip it. 

We are resting on top of support there around 663 on #SPY,  under that is negative gamma and we could break weekly support.  

Levels:


All the best;

 


Peter Cook
#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator
Hamzei Analytics, LLC


This email went out to Members at 0827 ET on Sept 30th.

Posted by Hamzei Analytics, LLC at 10:00 AM

Disclaimer and Terms of Service

© Copyright 1998-2023, Hamzei Analytics, LLC. Hamzei Financial Network is published by Hamzei Analytics, LLC, Naples, FL 34112, Admin@HamzeiAnalytics.com (310) 306-1200. The information herein was obtained from sources which Hamzei Analytics, LLC believes are reliable, but we can not and do not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. Please note that Hamzei Analytics, LLC or its principals may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities or commodities that are recommended or otherwise covered on this website. Neither Hamzei Analytics, LLC nor its principals intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security or commodity. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security or commodity based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or recommendation you receive from us. The content on this site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment or trading advice. Any action that you take as a result of information, analysis, or conclusion on this site is ultimately your responsibility. Always consult your financial adviser(s) before making any investment or trading decisions.