Thursday, September 25, 2025

Bi-Monthly #Stock #Market #Timing for #SPX #NDX #SPY #QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F

starts today at 415pm Eastern (2015 Zulu) 


Webinar Registration page




HA ORB had another fantastic day trading #NQ_F Futures


HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

(trades both MNQ & NQ)

for Thursday, September 25, 2025 







here is the P&L for today:

Trading three NQZ25 contracts: 

Let's do the Math
3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money
so here in less than 2 hrs it made a tad over 32 %

 

here is the Trades List:




Here is the 90-day Equity Curve:


Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION OR NINJA IS NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 


B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off








Market Commentary for Thursday, September 25, 2025, by Peter Cook

 

We are gapping down.  Why?  No reason really, the market just has too many people shorting volatility and we are struggling with sentiment now.  


With gaps like this, often it takes 30-45 minutes in the first hour to shake everyone out, which looks like what's going on now.  We'll look for a turn back up hopefully if we hit some of these Put Walls.  That would be a nice place to see Market Makers at least attempt a bounce.  


We got inflation data in the form of the PCE measurement in the GDP and it was very hot.  GDP came in as a "beat" which probably seems good, except that inflation (PCE) was 2.5% compared to only 1.6% last quarter.  That is a really big jump.


We will look for signs that the Rate Cuts Odds are going down via the CME FedWatch.  This market is 100% settled on one path only - rate cuts and lower than expected inflation is the normal view of things.  I think that view is being challenged this morning.  


#COST reports earnings and there is heavy, heavy put buying in that name ahead of the print. 


Levels:





All the best;


 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC



Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 


This email went out to HA Members at 0941 ET on Sept 25th.


GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders


Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 78F, expected range is 90/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Rates are rising as Econ Data came in a lot better than Consensus Estimates:   there goes the Fed rate cuts? who knows !!



these are the good data points for our Economy:






Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Admiral Tiko's Stock of the Day


MicroStrategy (MSTR) is on a SELL 

Price Target is 306 (negative 4 sigma)

notice the death cross (50 MA crossing below 200 MA) could be next 

 


PMT Trade #396 is out

Login to your PMT to see the trade

Admiral Tiko's PMT Chart of the Day = 3-mo. #VIX Futures Spread (#VX_F)

 


as 3-month VIX Futures (Long Ocotber25, Short January26) improves (rises), it signifies that broad market is in the SELL mode.

Bottom is very near when the spread prints ZERO....


Market Commentary for Wednesday, September 24, 2025, by Peter Cook


Looks like we are holding steady overnight, which isn't too surprising given we were sitting on top of weekly VWAPs at the end of the session yesterday.


0DTE Gamma shows a lot of puts at 663 on SPY, heavy support.  If it breaks, we could pull the same kind of move we did yesterday, straight down for a while.  


Argentina is rising so far this morning on Bailout Hopes.  Please keep this on your radar because these things are not that easy to fix once they start - back in 1995 it was a mess in Mexico when it happened and ended up costing the US and IMF a ton of money to fix.  If the US has to spend a bunch of money, it could make rates go up or even cause a contagion.  The IMF is saying "no thanks" to helping because this is about the 5th time Argentina has done this thing.  Watch the Argentinian Peso over the next few weeks for signs of weakness.


Levels:




All the best;


Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC


Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0932 ET on Sept 24th.


GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders


Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 91/76


Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 


Critical Econ Data point for today is:




Tuesday, September 23, 2025

HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) barely made any shekels today

HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

for Tuesday, September 23, 2025 




Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 


B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off


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