Upside Surprise

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GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from [partly] Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 74F, expected range is 86/72

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data points for today are:

And, tomorrow is September Expiration for Stocks, Options & Futures.  I will only trade in the morning.  Hate OX afternoons.

How are the Big-Cap High-Beta names are fairing post FOMC Rate Cut

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Let's look at top five favorites traded by active traders, sorted by beta

they all look the pretty much the same --  a tad sick (with exception of #TSLA)

keep an eye on negative sigma levels for a potential buy points

use call spreads with long duration

FED Action

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Fed Cuts Rates by Quarter Point and Signals More Are Likely - WSJ

Market Commentary for Wednesday, September 17, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We are treading water ahead of the big FOMC announcement (Rate Cuts). 

I don't have a big read on it today, but TradeStation is suspending margins after 1 PM, which usually means some fireworks are coming.

China is banning #NVDA chips.  That has our fearless leaders a little irritated this morning, but the market doesn't really care so far.  Mostly because the US already bans #NVDA from selling anything good to China, so they end up using #AMD instead.  

I don't trade FOMC, I usually skip it.  I think the bigger event will be the huge, Call Heavy expiration that comes Friday morning with effects that will be felt next week.  If we don't see the animal spirits continue by rolling calls up and out, then this market will sink under its own bloated weight. 

Levels:

All the best;

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

 

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0900 ET on Sept 17th.

Another MISS

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HA ORB performed well today

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 HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

(trades both MNQ & NQ)

for Tuesday, September 16, 2025 

Using 3 NQZ25 contracts: 

let's do the Math

3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money

so here in less than 2 hrs it made a tad over 22 %

List of Trades for Today:

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Industrial Production was revised down BIGly

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Market Commentary for Tuesday, September 16, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We had a gap up this morning from the bid overnight in Asia, but it's wilting so far near the open. 

Indexes seeing lots of put buying, especially out into next week.  Puts normally cost about 8% less than calls, but we see they are about 25% more expensive here.  That means lots of demand. 

At the same time, I'm seeing a ton of flow shorting Vix and it is setup to spike (I bought some Vix calls yesterday right on the open).  

I don't know if I've seen the market this "split" in a long time - maybe February of 2017 when Trump was out there and cut the Taxes.  We started running hard, and people really shorted the heck out of the thing after the election.  They got run over at that time.  It doesn't mean the same thing will happen here though. 

This is one weird market.  The tech stuff is squeezing early shorts for sure (#GOOG is really bad) but it's starting to morph into a bid where the Call Flow is returning and that should put a serious brake on this.  So, the squeezes are almost done. 

Many stocks are putting in large range days and reversing (e.g. #TSLA yesterday).  But #TSLA still needs to break the Anchored VWAP from 9/12 to get more bearish.  I'll be looking for that soon.  

The last thing I see here, sitting there having done NOTHING for months is #DJT.  It has to squeeze at some point; it usually does when it gets like this. I have some YOLO calls on that one. 

I'll look for support at the 0DTE Implied lows today and see if we can get some longs.  It's been very, very slim pickings for me trading over the last week.  Not many setups due to the low volatility. 

Levels:

All the best;

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0935 ET on Sept 16th.

Bi-Monthly #Stock #Market #Timing for #SPX #NDX #SPY #QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F

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starts at 415 pm Eastern this afternoon

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