Thursday, August 28, 2025

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 82F, expected range is 92/77


Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms


ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 


GDP came in a tad better than expected, Indices are up, Bonds are pretty much unchanged


and Jobless Claims 4-week moving average is rising, albeit with a shallow slope




Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Our coveted DayTrading System, HA ORB Plus, for AutoTrading #MNQ_F & #NQ_F is back


We are pleased to announce that our coveted HA ORB DayTrading system has been repackaged in early August, with more efficiency, and thus lower cost, to operate and maintain by trading exclusively at one of our strategic alliances: Striker Securities located in Elmhurst, IL






ORB Plus NQ Trading System

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3704

ORB Plus MNQ Trading System

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705


You can sign-up, open an account and fund it at Striker to get ready as we near the Fall which historically brings up chaos and higher volatility - exactly what ORB was designed for.

This version is called ORB Plus (ORB+) v4.98 due to its new + improved features. 


Original HA ORB v1.0 was first launched exactly 4 years ago, in August of 2021, and has been in continuous use in our #NQ_F Chatroom only.


You can review more performance data here:

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

Market Commentary for Wednesday, August 27, 2025, by Peter Cook


We continue to see anticipation show itself ahead of #NVDA earnings.  You could tell people were piling in yesterday afternoon with the one-way rally we got into the close. 


#MDB reported earnings and it's up 30% - that's got software stocks moving.  #DDOG is another one to watch in sympathy to #MDB. 

There is light economic data today, so we should trade pretty technically - the drift up into the earnings anticipation is here.  Asia was weak last night with China down 2% and Japan down 1%.  Even Poland is off this morning.  The US Dollar is rallying too. 

I'll be pressing longs intraday today into the #NVDA anticipation, looking for support at the 0DTE Implied Lows if we get some long setups.  Remember, I mentioned #NVDA typically sells from the Open of Tomorrow to the Close tomorrow, most of the earnings move will happen on the gap up or down after hours.  The gap up will have a tendency to want to be monetized / profits locked in and a gap down will cause a panic with trapped longs and chunky hedging from a week or two ago still present in the Open Interest. 


Levels:

All the best;

 

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

 

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 


GM #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL

Temp is 81F, expected range is 91 to 76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting for ES & NQ Chartrooms


ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 


only data point today was Mortgage Apps

came in a tad soft



Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Market Commentary for Tuesday, August 26, 2025, by Peter Cook


We are kind of treading water into #NVDA earnings Wednesday after the bell.  Implied move is like 6% or so, which isn't too bad for that stock.  I notice some heavy hedging and retail looks to be a little nervous about whether or not Jenson can deliver the goods (AGAIN).  I have no real edge trading earnings until they actually come out.  The one tendency that does exist for #NVDA is to actually sell from the Open to the Close on the next morning after the afternoon announcement, so there is that.  0DTE Puts might print on the morning after. 


Durable Goods was pretty good here this morning.  We like to see that, and it would be nice to see some decent economic data for a change. 






The Dallas Fed did their survey yesterday morning and it was great.  They asked businesses some nice questions on Tariff implementation and when they were going to raise prices. Here is the kind of summary:

  • Prices paid continues to rise, indicating continued, persistent price #Inflation for businesses because of the #Tariffs.  It increased 2 more points this time around. 
  • Prices received continues to rise, indicating businesses are continuing to pass through the costs of #Tariffs.  This increased 4 points (double what Prices Paid did).  Businesses are passing more Tariff costs onto the consumer. 
  • 71.6% of businesses said they were seeing negative impacts due to the #Tariffs, that's a lot.
  • 63.6% of businesses say they have passed the costs onto customers and ~62% of them say they will pass either the entire cost or most of the cost of the #Tariff onto their customers.  
  • 78.6% of businesses say they don't expect any more funny business with #Tariffs for the rest of the year, the storm has passed they say.

This is very useful information because if Tariff stuff becomes a thing again, we'll see businesses surprised (they think it's done) and we could see real negative reactions in the market. 

I'm not going to Day Trade much today, my metrics say it's not a good day to trade.  

Levels:


All the best;

 

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

 

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 



GM @ES_F #NQ_F Traders

 we have two econ data points today and both are crucial:


Durable Goods is out and came in slightly better than expected,

with ex-auto showing a lot better




next one is Consumer Confidence, and it is due at 1000 ET



Monday, August 25, 2025

HAPI CI CI Diff Prop Indicator for Ninja Trader Platform

 


Bi-Monthly #Stock #Market #Timing Review of #ES_F #NQ_F #SPX #NDX #SPY for Monday, August 25, 2025

 


GM #ES_F #NQ_F Traders

 



GM @ES_F #NQ_F Traders

should be a quiet day, with very slight biased to the downside to release some upward pressure we saw on Friday #Fed #JacksonHole

we have one data point at 1000 ET

Market Commentary for Monday, August 25, 2025, by Peter Cook


We look to be having a little hangover from all the Jackson Hole buying. Bitcoin had a really rough weekend. The bitcoin futures are down almost 5%.  The worst part about it was that Ethereum was still catching a bid from the late coming, worst of the worst retail players.  Once the futures opened on Sunday, the Arbitrage people took care of that spread and whomped poor Ethereum again. I have been on Major Top watch for Crypto for the last week to week and a half. 


It's not really common to see ES holding up like this when Bitcoin is down this much.  The last couple times we gapped the ES futures up while the Bitcoin futures gapped down 2%, we topped the last two bull markets.  That's not good.  

We should be down around 567-568 on QQQ by now, so I'm kind of looking for that kind of reaction today at some point.  I'll look for longs around the Purple VWMA (Monthly VWAP) and Yellow VWMA (Weekly VWAP) on QQQ.  


Levels:


All the best;

 

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

 

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

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