HA ORB had a loss today

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Market Commentary for Monday, September 29, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We are gapping up and all the silly stuff is running again.

#Gold, gold miners, #FFTY and #NVDA is running.  #INTC is weak though. I have puts on $INTC expecting it to completely fall apart soon. 

We gapped Bitcoin futures up on Sunday - the last 14 times that has happened we are lower than today's close 11 out of 14 times.  It is bearish. 

We get the JPM Collar roll after tomorrow - that will reduce the tendency of this market to be so resilient. 

VXN is up 3% this morning, most of the Vix complex continues to rise - extending correlations with the indexes further and further out (Vix up Indexes Up).  This is a very, very bearish thing to see. 

#QQQ is up almost 1% as I type this and yet only 49% of the #SPX is advancing.  Not good. 

Levels:

 All the best;

 Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 1014 ET on Sept 29th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 77F, expected range is 90/77 with 80% chanse of rain 

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data points for today are:

HA ORB had a small loss today

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HA ES Chatroom Performance Chart

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here are the trades:  

https://s3.dualstack.us-east-1.amazonaws.com/media.hamzeianalytics.com/HA%20ES%20Chatroom%20Performance%20Data.pdf

here is the sign-up link:  

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_ES_details.asp

Market Commentary for Friday, September 26, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We are running up this morning based on "good" inflation data.  You can judge for yourself, but it does look like the data look fishy to me.  Consumption numbers running at 2x the rate of inflation looks odd.  

If it's real, prices should come up to meet that insatiable demand.  

Prior PCE revised down too.  I'm sure everyone can understand why after the last couple weeks of drama with the BLS. 

Meanwhile, you can look at #COST and see all you need to know about consumption.  It's down after laying another egg during earnings.  Same store sales tepid.  

#KMX was down almost 25% yesterday with the same kind of thing - really difficult time for used cars now that the Tariff induced front running is done.  

#LEN reported same with home sales.  Not only that but builder stocks ran up way too much in anticipation of rate cuts.  Now the hangover is here. 

I'm watching the stocks, not the macro data - macro data just not useful anymore. #INFL (ETF that tracks stocks that do best with inflation) is up 0.55% this morning so far too.  If inflation is not a concern, then why do the inflation stocks keep going up? 

Gamma Ratios are very bullish today, I killed it yesterday and pulled almost 70 ES handles, which is pretty nuts for me.  I'm going to press longs again today.  Could be a trend up day at least until we get into 661 on SPY. 

Levels:

All the best;

 

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0954 ET on Sept 26th.

Proactive Market Timing Webinar recorded last night #ES_F #SPX #NQ_F #NDX

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read more: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/Proactive_Market_Timing_Pro_details.asp

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 91/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data point for today is:

core PCE came in in-line and our markets rallied. YM Futures traded up +240 

and this one is due at 10am ET

Bi-Monthly #Stock #Market #Timing for #SPX #NDX #SPY #QQQ #ES_F #NQ_F

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starts today at 415pm Eastern (2015 Zulu) 

Webinar Registration page

HA ORB had another fantastic day trading #NQ_F Futures

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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

(trades both MNQ & NQ)

for Thursday, September 25, 2025 

here is the P&L for today:

Trading three NQZ25 contracts: 

Let's do the Math

3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money

so here in less than 2 hrs it made a tad over 32 %

 

here is the Trades List:

Here is the 90-day Equity Curve:

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION OR NINJA IS NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705