PMT Trade #396 is out

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Admiral Tiko's PMT Chart of the Day = 3-mo. #VIX Futures Spread (#VX_F)

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as 3-month VIX Futures (Long Ocotber25, Short January26) improves (rises), it signifies that broad market is in the SELL mode.

Bottom is very near when the spread prints ZERO....

Market Commentary for Wednesday, September 24, 2025, by Peter Cook

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Looks like we are holding steady overnight, which isn't too surprising given we were sitting on top of weekly VWAPs at the end of the session yesterday.

0DTE Gamma shows a lot of puts at 663 on SPY, heavy support.  If it breaks, we could pull the same kind of move we did yesterday, straight down for a while.  

Argentina is rising so far this morning on Bailout Hopes.  Please keep this on your radar because these things are not that easy to fix once they start - back in 1995 it was a mess in Mexico when it happened and ended up costing the US and IMF a ton of money to fix.  If the US has to spend a bunch of money, it could make rates go up or even cause a contagion.  The IMF is saying "no thanks" to helping because this is about the 5th time Argentina has done this thing.  Watch the Argentinian Peso over the next few weeks for signs of weakness.

Levels:

All the best;

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0932 ET on Sept 24th.

GM #ES_F & #NQ_F Traders

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Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 79F, expected range is 91/76

Our Real-Time Audio/Video Sharing for HA Prop DayTrading #Systems is starting now on both @Zoom + @GoToMeeting Chartrooms

ALL SYSTEMS ARE GO! 

Critical Econ Data point for today is:

HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) barely made any shekels today

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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures

for Tuesday, September 23, 2025 

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Decoding Day Trading Signals: How the Best Services Turn Data into Profit

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Market Commentary for Tuesday, September 23, 2025, by Peter Cook

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We nailed the call on the +0.65% move on #QQQ, crazy when the statistics work out.  

#BA up this morning.  It's set up nicely for a long on the Dailies. 

#GLD continues to run.  But all is not well - when it does a multi-week run like this, it's only up about 20-25% of the time in the next 6 weeks.  It's time to be locking down gains in those names. 

#NVDA is noticeably weak today.  I saw some signs the options markets are overheating in #NVDA last night, I'd avoid. This is one sign I've been looking for to get ready for a larger decline in the indices. 

I did start swinging some left-tail kind of "Vix Spike" plays using some 10-delta weekly calls.  We'll see if it works - it's a small position.  Since I'm not doing much trading now (other than day trading) I need to keep myself busy and not get in trouble. 

Levels:

 

All the best;

Peter Cook

#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator

Hamzei Analytics, LLC

Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp 

This email went out to Members at 0936 ET on Sept 23rd.

Admiral Tiko's Chart of the Day = HA SP2

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as most of you know well, over the years, HA SP2 has been a very effective tool of picking tops & bottoms (specially bottoms).

Current reading is ~89 which says SPX is very overbought

now, tops take time to form, and we *could* be near a trend reversal but it is too hard to tell this second....... bottoming is much easier

so stay tuned and we will keep an eye on both SPX & HA SP2 

HA ORB had another great day

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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NQZ25 Futures

for Monday day, September 22, 2025

Trading three NQZ25 contracts: 

Let's do the Math

3 NQ contracts need $3,333 x 3 = $10,000 in margin money

so here in less than 90 minutes it made a tad over 28 %

Here is the trades list for today:

Here is the Equity Curve for last 66 trading days (1 quarter):

Here are two ways you can join this wonderful tool:

NO TRADESTATION NEEDED

A) Self-directed Trading is done in our NQ Chatroom.... Click here to go thru PayPal: 

https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp

B) Run it thru Striker Securities in Chicago - totally hands off

https://striker.com/searchsystems.php?detail=on&sysID=3705

Nick Timiraos of WSJ on Fed Rate Cuts

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