Good Morning to #Stock Index #Futures Traders from Sunny Cape Naples, FL.... Temp is 75F, expected range is 90/75
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FED meets today & tomorrow for its Sept FOMC Session
Critical Econ Data points for today are:
HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) Plus for NASDAQ-100 Futures
(trades both MNQ & NQ)
for Monday, September 15, 2025
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We got Elon Musk buying a bunch of #TSLA stock today. We are scraping the bottom of the barrel to find more folks to get involved with the market here and I guess that moves the needle these days.
That actually has some stocks like #GOOG moving too. #GOOG has quite a few people trying to buy puts on it, and they are getting squeezed. It's putting in a Major Weekly Top though and in the next few months it's going to be rough over there. I have a hard time believing the indexes are going to escape that aftermath unscathed.
Vix is up this morning - not surprising. I'm buying some October 22nd, 20-25 Delta Calls on Vix here. I rarely ever do that; it has to be a pretty compelling setup. This is definitely one of those setups. I'm also watching the bonds for another "Sell the News" move similar to the last time the Fed started cutting rates (long rates went up 1% when Fed cut almost 1%).
We are opening around the 660 Call Wall on SPY - typically that results in selling. My metrics say it's still a nice day to trade some longs if we can get this thing to actually sell though. It has been difficult to get any setups lately due to the low volatility - today kind of looks like it'll be the same.
Levels:
All the best;
Peter Cook
#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp
This email went out to Members at 0956 ET on Sept 15th.
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HA Opening Range Breakout (ORB) for NASDAQ-100 Futures
We got the CPI and PPI out of the way and now the market is pricing in the possibility of 6 cuts instead of "maybe 2". That is not rational, if you are a passive investor, you better hope this thing doesn't need 6 cuts because if it does it'll be down 20% or more.
Let's hope we can get through Friday and into Rollover without any more drama.
Consumer Sentiment is at 10 AM, should be more of the same (Dems in the toilet, Repubs more or less happy but slowly declining in sentiment mostly due to inflation and not being able to find workers for their businesses).
It's a good day to press longs. SpotGamma had 656 on SPY as the Put Wall, which is bizarre. They made a mistake I think - Put Wall is really at 640 on SPY. None the less, there is a fair chunk of puts at 656 and that might end up being heavy support. I'm going to press longs as long as we are over 656 on SPY.
Levels:
All the best;
Peter Cook
#NQ_F Chatroom Chief Moderator
Hamzei Analytics, LLC
Sign-up link: https://www.hamzeianalytics.com/HAPDTS_NQ_details.asp
This email went out to Members at 0935 ET on Sept 12th.
and this is how it did while NQU25 was lead
today is last day of trading for NQU25
as we roll over into NQZ25 Sunday at Globex Open
We got the CPI data and it was hot. But it wasn't as hot as the market would have though and the headline year over year numbers matched consensus. Food prices were hot, coming in at 3.2% year over year compared to 2.9% last month. That's not going to make people happy.
The jobs data was awful. Jobless Claims are inflecting upward meaningfully.
Today the tape is good but remember we like to go test that 8:30 AM EST level when we see these larger economic data releases.
I'm going to press longs again, just like I did yesterday. If we get down to the 0DTE Implied Lows again like we did yesterday, it is still going to be a spot to try to buy it for a rally just like yesterday afternoon.
Levels:
Always check with the Exchange where your future is listed for trading
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/equity-index/rolldates.html
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